Representatives of ECB, the Commission and the IMF on 11th September leave Portugal. They were to consider a visit to assess the progress of the Portuguese adjustment program. The report of the fifth Mission is now created. Advance the press was informed that the mission is proceeding well. The opposite also is the case. The revenues depend significantly of schedule. Portugal will therefore miss its program objectives.
The budget deficit for 2012 will now be 5 percent. 4.5 percent were originally agreed. For next year, 3 percent deficit was projected; the troika now expects 4.5 percent. In 2014, the deficit should amount to just 2.3 percent, now it will be at least 2.5 percent. Targets are achieved only when Portugal takes additional consolidation effort.
Apparently jumping the Portuguese economy does not indicate how to be presented it. This is not surprising when you look at the problems with neighbours and trading partners Spain. The turnaround of the Portuguese economy will take considerably longer. The slowing European and global economy does the rest.
This has a considerable impact on the sustainability of Portuguese public debt. Now is expects a maximum debt level just below 124 per cent, which is expected to decrease gradually from 2014. The press release is probably a good reason not to, what has been planned: The maximum debt level should be reached in 2013 at 108.6 percent of GDP. The example of Portugal shows that the eternal protestations that Greece is a special case, and all other countries are on the right track, because the adjustment programs were effective, but they are not correct.
There is a misconception that we can assist with loans between finance the Latin European countries for a few short years until they have solved their debt problems through adjustment programs under the aegis Brussels. In the same time, most debtor countries have long since reached the point where only negotiations between debtor and creditors can help.
The start of these negotiations, should not to be delay through subsidized loans, otherwise it is quite possible does not come to the negotiating table. Of course, nothing hurts more than the neighbourly relations fight over money.
Who wants to hear how bad it really is demand for our money? What politicians trying to conceal? The payment system “Target” pulls Europe into the abyss. It is not easy one to listening to people, who are not just like uncomfortable, but in their superior attitude seem difficult to understand. Just weeks ago, Hans-Werner Sinn and a few comrades, thanks to their criticism of the decisions of the EU summit on Euro crisis, did not received the approval of the Germans.
“Target” is the name for the author of the problem in Europe. It is the abbreviation for acting belligerently a problem, which in its entire length for letters is causing confusion. Trans-European Automated Real-time Gross Settlement Express Transfer System – it is the name of the payment system, through which the international interbank payments are settled in the euro area.
Transfer target and measures the money transfers between the national central banks of the euro countries due to international transfer orders, the private and public financial institutions provide their respective commercial banks, the author writes. For example, the Greeks can continue ordering goods from their rich neighbours of the EU – the money is guaranteed by the government’s own central bank. S
mall catch: It must also be economical for all parties to work. Today, there are about one trillion euro target loans in the euro area, i.e., claims on the ECB system with obligations of Spain, Italy, Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Cyprus are facing. Alone at the Bundesbank target receivables of EUR 727 billion euros have been earned. Sense reckons that in the case that the debtor cannot pay back, you have to write off the debts. The goods and property objects that were acquired with the target money in the core countries come, never to return.
In a bankruptcy or exit from the crisis countries of the euro zone, Germany would lose 43 percent of its claims, those 416 billion euros. If the euro breaks up, all 727 billion euros would be gone – a loss that would affect each citizen. The target system is above all because the Bundesbank did not have the opportunity to collect their target demands. The loans would be repaid only if German awarded new loans to euro-abroad or investment properties and goods, which are purchased there.
From the Lehman bankruptcy and the subsequent financial crisis, we have learned nothing. The financial markets are still notbetter regulated. The latest example is the scandal over the manipulation of the LIBOR. The financial sector is thus more at stake than just billions.
It is a basic knowledge of economics, but also the daily life experience: cartels or monopolies even pry out any market economy, because they eliminate competition, inhibit technological developments, and consumers pay the bill in the form of inflated prices. That is why in many countries in the world trust the laws and relevant authorities to uncover the illegal price fixing by cartels to providers as and impose fines. The European Commission adopted in 2010 /as in antitrust fines against companies in the amount of more than 3 billion euros/, at least 2011 more than 600 million euros.
A few days ago, the European Court of Justice (ECJ) overturned the ban on trade with non-certified seed varieties. This is good for biodiversity and food quality as for family farmers and consumers. In today’s most important market, there are glimmers of hope, despite numerous interventions of regulators. What do you think for this? Maybe it was not a bad decision, even on the contrary.
The scandal over the manipulation of the LIBOR, the daily reference rate set out in the interbank market in London shows that it was with what criminal activity of key interest for the international money market, apparently forged over the years in favour of a few large banks. Where do we stand today? Paul Kirchhoff formulated formulate a thesis a few days ago. He expressed a very favourable opinion.
In essence, we are prisoners of a creditors’ cartel. They are which have become citizens and businesses, because we have funded all more and more use services on credit. We want it all and do it now, is the motto of a society that has forgotten what means moderation. Nevertheless, the price of this indulgence is a vicious response to the feudal institutions of our day, the anonymous financial markets and their actors.